Will the Philippines Follow America’s Lead?

The 2028 Question:
ELECTIONS are often treated as a measure of popularity. But at some point, they become something else entirely: a public reckoning.

The November 2026 United States midterm elections delivered a significant political setback to President Donald Trump and the Republican Party. Democrats regained control of both chambers of Congress, despite Republicans having entered the election with majorities in both.

This result was more than a reshuffling of political power. It became a reminder that political power, however once firmly held, remains vulnerable to public dissatisfaction.

The Cost of Political Loyalty

Midterm elections are often seen as a test of the administration’s public standing. Voters may tolerate ideological differences, political controversies, and even unpopular decisions for a time. But when the cost of living becomes burdensome, and confidence in government begins to crumble, loyalty can give way to frustration.

This to say, is not entirely different for us Filipinos.

The 2025 Philippine midterm elections saw the return of major opposition figures Bam Aquino and Kiko Pangilinan to the Senate, suggesting that the opposition could remain competitive despite the political influence of its rivals.

The shifting composition of the Senate has also reshaped the balance of political power, with opposition figures gaining seats and influence in the chamber.

A failure with consequences

For instance, the flood-control corruption scandal has exposed a more fundamental problem. Billions of pesos intended to protect communities from flooding have become the subject of criminal investigations and prosecutions.

For Filipinos who had to endure flooded streets, damaged homes, and lost livelihoods almost every year, the scandal no longer simply raises questions about the misuse of taxpayers’ money; it asks whether public money is serving the public at all and whether Filipinos can still expect better from the government in the years to come.

Democracy does not demand that voters abandon their political loyalties overnight, but it does demand that those loyalties never come at the expense of independent judgment, critical thinking, and their willingness to hold our chosen leaders accountable.

It is only fair to say that the flood-control project that exists only on paper is not merely an administrative oversight; it is a failure with consequences measured in lives and livelihoods and a clear betrayal of public trust.

What Lies Ahead in 2028

The result of the US midterm election does not guarantee a similar outcome in the Philippines. Our electoral system, political alliances, and voter behavior are different. Nevertheless, the parallel between our states deserves attention.

As more members of our administration face scrutiny, old alliances become increasingly difficult to defend.

Politicians who once stood together may find themselves distancing from one another. Those who have built their campaigns on loyalty and personality may discover that these are insufficient answers to questions about public funds and accountability.

Democracy does not demand that voters abandon their political loyalties overnight, but it does demand that those loyalties never come at the expense of independent judgment, critical thinking, and their willingness to hold our chosen leaders accountable.

The opposition, for its part, must offer more than criticism. It must demonstrate competence, consistency, and a willingness to hold its own ranks to the same standards it demands of others.

The American midterms offer a timely reminder and gentle premonition: political dominance is never permanent, and public patience is not infinite.

In 2028, Philippine voters will have another opportunity to decide whether political power should remain a privilege of the familiar, or a responsibility that must continually be earned.